All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes9%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
8.5¢ per share
- No92%
91.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8.5¢Spread 13¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 251 | $5.02 |
| 1¢ | 34,822.78 | $348.23 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 46.5 | $6.98 |
| 16¢ | 15.5 | $2.48 |
| 17¢ | 50 | $8.50 |
| 18¢ | 20 | $3.60 |
| 19¢ | 2,066.47 | $392.63 |
| 20¢ | 250 | $50.00 |
| 24¢ | 40 | $9.60 |
| 25¢ | 100 | $25.00 |
| 26¢ | 5 | $1.30 |
| 29¢ | 40 | $11.60 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.