All markets
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 19,989.99 | $19.99 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1¢ | 4,220 | $42.20 |
| 3¢ | 360 | $10.80 |
| 5¢ | 130 | $6.50 |
| 14.3¢ | 5 | $0.72 |
| 19¢ | 2,026.47 | $385.03 |
| 19.9¢ | 20 | $3.98 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
| 26.1¢ | 420 | $109.62 |
| 28.6¢ | 10 | $2.86 |
| 29.8¢ | 40 | $11.92 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.