All markets
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes14.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
14.5¢ per share
- No86%
85.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 14.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 30 | $3.90 |
| 12¢ | 319.84 | $38.38 |
| 11¢ | 609.8 | $67.08 |
| 10¢ | 162.32 | $16.23 |
| 9¢ | 40 | $3.60 |
| 8¢ | 20.24 | $1.62 |
| 7¢ | 76.81 | $5.38 |
| 6¢ | 232.74 | $13.96 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| 4¢ | 425 | $17.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 150.1 | $24.02 |
| 17¢ | 264.63 | $44.99 |
| 18¢ | 140 | $25.20 |
| 19¢ | 20 | $3.80 |
| 20¢ | 100 | $20.00 |
| 21¢ | 333 | $69.93 |
| 27¢ | 50 | $13.50 |
| 28¢ | 54 | $15.12 |
| 32¢ | 20 | $6.40 |
| 34¢ | 50 | $17.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official. Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed. The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.