All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
10%chance
- Yes9.9%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
9.9¢ per share
- No90%
90.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.9¢Spread 1.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 12 | $1.08 |
| 8.9¢ | 20 | $1.78 |
| 8.8¢ | 20 | $1.76 |
| 7.3¢ | 6 | $0.44 |
| 7.2¢ | 64 | $4.61 |
| 7.1¢ | 13,800.55 | $979.84 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
| 0.9¢ | 407 | $3.66 |
| 0.8¢ | 100 | $0.80 |
| 0.6¢ | 100 | $0.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8¢ | 52 | $5.62 |
| 10.9¢ | 40 | $4.36 |
| 11¢ | 5 | $0.55 |
| 11.1¢ | 83.64 | $9.28 |
| 11.2¢ | 5 | $0.56 |
| 11.3¢ | 50 | $5.65 |
| 11.6¢ | 40 | $4.64 |
| 12.8¢ | 230 | $29.44 |
| 13.1¢ | 121.93 | $15.97 |
| 13.2¢ | 140 | $18.48 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.