All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
30%chance
- Yes29.5%
Outcomes
- Yes30%
29.5¢ per share
- No71%
70.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 29.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 29¢ | 173.93 | $50.44 |
| 28¢ | 1,120 | $313.60 |
| 27¢ | 166 | $44.82 |
| 26¢ | 264 | $68.64 |
| 25¢ | 18.33 | $4.58 |
| 24¢ | 200 | $48.00 |
| 22¢ | 5 | $1.10 |
| 21¢ | 36 | $7.56 |
| 20¢ | 80 | $16.00 |
| 19¢ | 100 | $19.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 128.33 | $38.50 |
| 31¢ | 286.64 | $88.86 |
| 32¢ | 371.8 | $118.98 |
| 33¢ | 77.96 | $25.73 |
| 34¢ | 51.04 | $17.35 |
| 36¢ | 50 | $18.00 |
| 39¢ | 100 | $39.00 |
| 40¢ | 100 | $40.00 |
| 41¢ | 200 | $82.00 |
| 44¢ | 140 | $61.60 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.