All markets
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?
72%chance
- Yes72%
Outcomes
- Yes72%
72.0¢ per share
- No28%
28.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 72¢Spread 20¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 62¢ | 67.1 | $41.60 |
| 61¢ | 250 | $152.50 |
| 60¢ | 20 | $12.00 |
| 51¢ | 39.21 | $20.00 |
| 27¢ | 20 | $5.40 |
| 26¢ | 384 | $99.84 |
| 25¢ | 300 | $75.00 |
| 21¢ | 50 | $10.50 |
| 14¢ | 300 | $42.00 |
| 10¢ | 2,000 | $200.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 82¢ | 12.68 | $10.40 |
| 85¢ | 70 | $59.50 |
| 88¢ | 113.47 | $99.85 |
| 90¢ | 5 | $4.50 |
| 93¢ | 20 | $18.60 |
| 94¢ | 8.77 | $8.24 |
| 95¢ | 63 | $59.85 |
| 97¢ | 33.33 | $32.33 |
| 98¢ | 60.31 | $59.10 |
| 99¢ | 1,075.12 | $1,064.37 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.