All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.0¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.5¢Spread 8.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 220 | $0.44 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,030 | $11.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7¢ | 90 | $7.83 |
| 10¢ | 10 | $1.00 |
| 10.7¢ | 40 | $4.28 |
| 14¢ | 30 | $4.20 |
| 14.6¢ | 120 | $17.52 |
| 15¢ | 118 | $17.70 |
| 15.9¢ | 120 | $19.08 |
| 19.9¢ | 120 | $23.88 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
| 24.9¢ | 120 | $29.88 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.