All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.6%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.6¢ per share
- No94%
94.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.6¢Spread 10.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 120 | $0.36 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,500 | $11.00 |
| 0.1¢ | 10,830 | $10.83 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.9¢ | 390 | $42.51 |
| 11¢ | 10 | $1.10 |
| 11.6¢ | 40 | $4.64 |
| 13.9¢ | 240 | $33.36 |
| 14¢ | 30 | $4.20 |
| 18¢ | 75 | $13.50 |
| 19.9¢ | 120 | $23.88 |
| 20¢ | 274 | $54.80 |
| 24.9¢ | 120 | $29.88 |
| 25¢ | 1,435.93 | $358.98 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.