All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.8%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.8¢ per share
- No95%
95.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.9¢Spread 9.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 100 | $0.30 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,500 | $11.00 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,941 | $11.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5¢ | 30 | $2.85 |
| 9.6¢ | 280 | $26.88 |
| 9.9¢ | 40 | $3.96 |
| 11¢ | 10 | $1.10 |
| 12.8¢ | 60 | $7.68 |
| 13.9¢ | 120 | $16.68 |
| 14¢ | 30 | $4.20 |
| 17¢ | 105 | $17.85 |
| 17.9¢ | 120 | $21.48 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.