All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes2.2%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.2¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8¢ | 207 | $3.73 |
| 1.7¢ | 100 | $1.70 |
| 1.5¢ | 204 | $3.06 |
| 1.4¢ | 675 | $9.45 |
| 1.3¢ | 19,216.65 | $249.82 |
| 1.2¢ | 5.03 | $0.06 |
| 0.9¢ | 555.5 | $5.00 |
| 0.8¢ | 764 | $6.11 |
| 0.7¢ | 1,094.2 | $7.66 |
| 0.6¢ | 1,133.3 | $6.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6¢ | 15 | $0.39 |
| 2.7¢ | 110.89 | $2.99 |
| 3.6¢ | 21 | $0.76 |
| 3.7¢ | 100 | $3.70 |
| 3.8¢ | 80 | $3.04 |
| 3.9¢ | 366 | $14.27 |
| 4¢ | 150 | $6.00 |
| 4.8¢ | 35 | $1.68 |
| 6¢ | 100 | $6.00 |
| 8¢ | 100 | $8.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.