All markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes8%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
8.5¢ per share
- No92%
91.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 312 | $24.96 |
| 7¢ | 886.33 | $62.04 |
| 6¢ | 207 | $12.42 |
| 5¢ | 50 | $2.50 |
| 3¢ | 50 | $1.50 |
| 2¢ | 35,031.44 | $700.63 |
| 1¢ | 1,759 | $17.59 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 478.69 | $43.08 |
| 10¢ | 235 | $23.50 |
| 11¢ | 120 | $13.20 |
| 12¢ | 134 | $16.08 |
| 13¢ | 182 | $23.66 |
| 14¢ | 30 | $4.20 |
| 15¢ | 394 | $59.10 |
| 16¢ | 250.78 | $40.12 |
| 17¢ | 7 | $1.19 |
| 19¢ | 150 | $28.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.