All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
20%chance
- Yes19.5%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
19.5¢ per share
- No81%
80.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 19.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 272 | $51.68 |
| 18¢ | 60 | $10.80 |
| 17¢ | 321.7 | $54.69 |
| 16¢ | 780 | $124.80 |
| 15¢ | 4,564 | $684.60 |
| 14¢ | 45 | $6.30 |
| 12¢ | 53 | $6.36 |
| 3¢ | 402 | $12.06 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 1¢ | 110 | $1.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20¢ | 444 | $88.80 |
| 21¢ | 229 | $48.09 |
| 22¢ | 142.5 | $31.35 |
| 25¢ | 100 | $25.00 |
| 27¢ | 80 | $21.60 |
| 29¢ | 30 | $8.70 |
| 30¢ | 250 | $75.00 |
| 31¢ | 30 | $9.30 |
| 38¢ | 25 | $9.50 |
| 40¢ | 307 | $122.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.