All markets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
16%chance
- Yes15.5%
Outcomes
- Yes16%
15.5¢ per share
- No85%
84.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 15.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 40 | $6.00 |
| 14¢ | 791.95 | $110.87 |
| 13¢ | 20 | $2.60 |
| 12¢ | 155.03 | $18.60 |
| 4¢ | 20 | $0.80 |
| 3¢ | 214 | $6.42 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 95 | $15.20 |
| 17¢ | 72.97 | $12.40 |
| 19¢ | 20 | $3.80 |
| 20¢ | 250 | $50.00 |
| 24¢ | 20 | $4.80 |
| 25¢ | 1,635.93 | $408.98 |
| 30¢ | 270 | $81.00 |
| 37¢ | 25 | $9.25 |
| 39¢ | 120 | $46.80 |
| 40¢ | 150 | $60.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.