All markets
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 675 | $3.38 |
| 0.3¢ | 120 | $0.36 |
| 0.2¢ | 200 | $0.40 |
| 0.1¢ | 16,131 | $16.13 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 2,000 | $24.00 |
| 1.5¢ | 3,030 | $45.45 |
| 3.9¢ | 1,000 | $39.00 |
| 4¢ | 2,000 | $80.00 |
| 9¢ | 210 | $18.90 |
| 9.9¢ | 120 | $11.88 |
| 10¢ | 300 | $30.00 |
| 12¢ | 30 | $3.60 |
| 18¢ | 75 | $13.50 |
| 19¢ | 120 | $22.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.