All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1¢ | 5,400 | $54.00 |
| 2¢ | 400 | $8.00 |
| 7.9¢ | 30 | $2.37 |
| 9¢ | 150 | $13.50 |
| 9.9¢ | 120 | $11.88 |
| 10¢ | 335 | $33.50 |
| 16¢ | 75 | $12.00 |
| 17¢ | 65 | $11.05 |
| 19¢ | 100 | $19.00 |
| 19.9¢ | 120 | $23.88 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.