All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 1,520 | $1.52 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1¢ | 120 | $1.20 |
| 3¢ | 76 | $2.28 |
| 4¢ | 10 | $0.40 |
| 5¢ | 30 | $1.50 |
| 14.3¢ | 5 | $0.72 |
| 23.6¢ | 135 | $31.86 |
| 23.7¢ | 60 | $14.22 |
| 23.9¢ | 50 | $11.95 |
| 34.3¢ | 30 | $10.29 |
| 47.6¢ | 500 | $238.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.