All markets
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 39,846.59 | $39.85 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 58 | $0.52 |
| 1¢ | 126.26 | $1.26 |
| 1.1¢ | 11.16 | $0.12 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 58.5 | $1.76 |
| 5¢ | 28.5 | $1.43 |
| 8.1¢ | 5 | $0.41 |
| 8.3¢ | 20.03 | $1.66 |
| 9.5¢ | 50 | $4.75 |
| 10.6¢ | 30 | $3.18 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.