All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
42%chance
- Yes42%
Outcomes
- Yes42%
42.0¢ per share
- No58%
58.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 42¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 41¢ | 100 | $41.00 |
| 40¢ | 170 | $68.00 |
| 39¢ | 150 | $58.50 |
| 38¢ | 10 | $3.80 |
| 37¢ | 20 | $7.40 |
| 36¢ | 10 | $3.60 |
| 31¢ | 15 | $4.65 |
| 26¢ | 5 | $1.30 |
| 25¢ | 76.5 | $19.13 |
| 24¢ | 542.5 | $130.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 43¢ | 50.01 | $21.50 |
| 44¢ | 70 | $30.80 |
| 45¢ | 150 | $67.50 |
| 51¢ | 56 | $28.56 |
| 53¢ | 6.21 | $3.29 |
| 56¢ | 55 | $30.80 |
| 57¢ | 55 | $31.35 |
| 59¢ | 470 | $277.30 |
| 60¢ | 2,010 | $1,206.00 |
| 70¢ | 125 | $87.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.