All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.5¢ per share
- No95%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 1,014.83 | $50.74 |
| 4¢ | 830 | $33.20 |
| 3¢ | 110 | $3.30 |
| 2¢ | 650.62 | $13.01 |
| 1¢ | 785 | $7.85 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 10.83 | $0.65 |
| 7¢ | 41.25 | $2.89 |
| 9¢ | 2,252.25 | $202.70 |
| 10¢ | 346.16 | $34.62 |
| 14¢ | 500 | $70.00 |
| 15¢ | 25 | $3.75 |
| 20¢ | 510 | $102.00 |
| 28¢ | 135 | $37.80 |
| 29¢ | 50 | $14.50 |
| 35¢ | 100 | $35.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.