All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7¢ | 64.5 | $0.45 |
| 1¢ | 84 | $0.84 |
| 2.1¢ | 34 | $0.71 |
| 3¢ | 46 | $1.38 |
| 3.3¢ | 40.75 | $1.34 |
| 5¢ | 21 | $1.05 |
| 11.1¢ | 200 | $22.20 |
| 14.4¢ | 10 | $1.44 |
| 14.5¢ | 100 | $14.50 |
| 14.6¢ | 40 | $5.84 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.