All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
47%chance
- Yes46.5%
Outcomes
- Yes47%
46.5¢ per share
- No54%
53.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 46.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 46¢ | 47.23 | $21.73 |
| 45¢ | 868.1 | $390.65 |
| 44¢ | 1,734.75 | $763.29 |
| 43¢ | 609.9 | $262.26 |
| 42¢ | 150 | $63.00 |
| 41¢ | 453.97 | $186.13 |
| 40¢ | 210 | $84.00 |
| 38¢ | 19 | $7.22 |
| 37¢ | 519 | $192.03 |
| 36¢ | 51.94 | $18.70 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 47¢ | 966.9 | $454.44 |
| 48¢ | 1,721.87 | $826.50 |
| 49¢ | 721 | $353.29 |
| 50¢ | 50 | $25.00 |
| 51¢ | 50 | $25.50 |
| 52¢ | 319.76 | $166.28 |
| 53¢ | 475.3 | $251.91 |
| 54¢ | 100 | $54.00 |
| 55¢ | 184.18 | $101.30 |
| 56¢ | 80 | $44.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.