All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 780.78 | $54.65 |
| 6¢ | 206.26 | $12.38 |
| 5¢ | 1,456 | $72.80 |
| 4¢ | 2,360 | $94.40 |
| 3¢ | 366.6 | $11.00 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1¢ | 900 | $9.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 1,767.51 | $141.40 |
| 9¢ | 65 | $5.85 |
| 10¢ | 500 | $50.00 |
| 11¢ | 173.97 | $19.14 |
| 12¢ | 725 | $87.00 |
| 13¢ | 39.01 | $5.07 |
| 14¢ | 126.23 | $17.67 |
| 15¢ | 433.4 | $65.01 |
| 16¢ | 500.45 | $80.07 |
| 17¢ | 147.8 | $25.13 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.