All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.7%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.7¢ per share
- No>99%
99.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.7¢Spread 0.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 526 | $2.10 |
| 0.3¢ | 141 | $0.42 |
| 0.2¢ | 4,548.24 | $9.10 |
| 0.1¢ | 28,317.38 | $28.32 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 67.86 | $0.61 |
| 1¢ | 228.6 | $2.29 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 100 | $1.30 |
| 1.9¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 2.1¢ | 100 | $2.10 |
| 3¢ | 150 | $4.50 |
| 4¢ | 100 | $4.00 |
| 5¢ | 130 | $6.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.