All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 157 | $0.94 |
| 0.5¢ | 57 | $0.29 |
| 0.4¢ | 381 | $1.52 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,330.47 | $12.99 |
| 0.2¢ | 8,110 | $16.22 |
| 0.1¢ | 17,797 | $17.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1¢ | 44.85 | $0.49 |
| 1.2¢ | 7.47 | $0.09 |
| 1.4¢ | 65 | $0.91 |
| 1.5¢ | 100 | $1.50 |
| 1.9¢ | 98 | $1.86 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 2.3¢ | 98 | $2.25 |
| 2.4¢ | 100 | $2.40 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 3.9¢ | 65 | $2.54 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.