All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.6¢ per share
- No98%
98.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.6¢Spread 1.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 30 | $0.24 |
| 0.7¢ | 102 | $0.71 |
| 0.6¢ | 304 | $1.82 |
| 0.5¢ | 100.91 | $0.50 |
| 0.4¢ | 142 | $0.57 |
| 0.3¢ | 6,300 | $18.90 |
| 0.2¢ | 9,511 | $19.02 |
| 0.1¢ | 208,068.57 | $208.07 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4¢ | 7 | $0.17 |
| 2.5¢ | 100 | $2.50 |
| 2.8¢ | 142 | $3.98 |
| 2.9¢ | 100 | $2.90 |
| 3.5¢ | 31 | $1.09 |
| 3.6¢ | 100 | $3.60 |
| 4¢ | 200 | $8.00 |
| 6¢ | 100 | $6.00 |
| 8¢ | 100 | $8.00 |
| 10¢ | 100 | $10.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.