All markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 728.52 | $51.00 |
| 6¢ | 1,884 | $113.04 |
| 5¢ | 9,367 | $468.35 |
| 4¢ | 85 | $3.40 |
| 3¢ | 11,587 | $347.61 |
| 2¢ | 57,328.68 | $1,146.57 |
| 1¢ | 1,803 | $18.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 142 | $11.36 |
| 9¢ | 1,138.49 | $102.46 |
| 10¢ | 337 | $33.70 |
| 11¢ | 150 | $16.50 |
| 12¢ | 55 | $6.60 |
| 13¢ | 100 | $13.00 |
| 15¢ | 45 | $6.75 |
| 16¢ | 100 | $16.00 |
| 17¢ | 6 | $1.02 |
| 18¢ | 93 | $16.74 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.