All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.8%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.8¢ per share
- No97%
97.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.8¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4¢ | 40,695.74 | $976.70 |
| 2.3¢ | 5.01 | $0.12 |
| 2.2¢ | 665.34 | $14.64 |
| 2.1¢ | 5 | $0.11 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1.3¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.2¢ | 156 | $1.87 |
| 1.1¢ | 450 | $4.95 |
| 1¢ | 1,121 | $11.21 |
| 0.8¢ | 810 | $6.48 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 32 | $0.99 |
| 3.2¢ | 34.36 | $1.10 |
| 3.4¢ | 5 | $0.17 |
| 3.5¢ | 57.41 | $2.01 |
| 3.6¢ | 5 | $0.18 |
| 3.7¢ | 50 | $1.85 |
| 3.9¢ | 116.71 | $4.55 |
| 4¢ | 100 | $4.00 |
| 4.2¢ | 81.65 | $3.43 |
| 4.5¢ | 22.94 | $1.03 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.