All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 9,693.01 | $9.69 |
| 0.5¢ | 6.19 | $0.03 |
| 0.6¢ | 14.58 | $0.09 |
| 1¢ | 78 | $0.78 |
| 2¢ | 136 | $2.72 |
| 2.4¢ | 24 | $0.58 |
| 3¢ | 43.5 | $1.31 |
| 5¢ | 19.5 | $0.98 |
| 5.5¢ | 10 | $0.55 |
| 5.6¢ | 170 | $9.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.