All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
92%chance
- Yes91.5%
Outcomes
- Yes92%
91.5¢ per share
- No9%
8.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 91.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 91¢ | 15.84 | $14.41 |
| 90¢ | 129.77 | $116.79 |
| 89¢ | 113 | $100.57 |
| 87¢ | 5.39 | $4.69 |
| 86¢ | 14.82 | $12.75 |
| 85¢ | 7.49 | $6.37 |
| 84¢ | 125 | $105.00 |
| 83¢ | 67.56 | $56.07 |
| 82¢ | 15.54 | $12.74 |
| 81¢ | 40 | $32.40 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 92¢ | 784.12 | $721.39 |
| 93¢ | 606.88 | $564.40 |
| 94¢ | 735 | $690.90 |
| 95¢ | 2,837.83 | $2,695.94 |
| 96¢ | 3,570.22 | $3,427.41 |
| 97¢ | 3,138.05 | $3,043.91 |
| 98¢ | 3,318.52 | $3,252.15 |
| 99¢ | 4,361.56 | $4,317.94 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.