All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.9%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.6¢ per share
- No96%
96.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.9¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5¢ | 38.62 | $1.35 |
| 3.4¢ | 15 | $0.51 |
| 3.3¢ | 133 | $4.39 |
| 3.2¢ | 10 | $0.32 |
| 3.1¢ | 36 | $1.12 |
| 3¢ | 26 | $0.78 |
| 2.9¢ | 18 | $0.52 |
| 2.7¢ | 43.98 | $1.19 |
| 2.5¢ | 7 | $0.18 |
| 2.4¢ | 10 | $0.24 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.2¢ | 115 | $4.83 |
| 4.3¢ | 15 | $0.64 |
| 4.7¢ | 10 | $0.47 |
| 4.8¢ | 66.39 | $3.19 |
| 4.9¢ | 106 | $5.19 |
| 5¢ | 177.3 | $8.87 |
| 6.5¢ | 5 | $0.33 |
| 6.6¢ | 32 | $2.11 |
| 6.7¢ | 50 | $3.35 |
| 7.7¢ | 16 | $1.23 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.