All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.4¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 361.13 | $1.44 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,710.2 | $14.13 |
| 0.2¢ | 6,873.2 | $13.75 |
| 0.1¢ | 18,323.4 | $18.32 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 605 | $3.03 |
| 0.6¢ | 10 | $0.06 |
| 0.9¢ | 380 | $3.42 |
| 1¢ | 105 | $1.05 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 9 | $0.12 |
| 1.4¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.5¢ | 100 | $1.50 |
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.8¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.