All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.2%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.3¢ per share
- No99%
98.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.2¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.1¢ | 130 | $1.43 |
| 1¢ | 105.1 | $1.05 |
| 0.9¢ | 3,752.1 | $33.77 |
| 0.8¢ | 204.1 | $1.63 |
| 0.7¢ | 105.1 | $0.74 |
| 0.6¢ | 132.22 | $0.79 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,010.22 | $5.05 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,005.1 | $8.02 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,705.1 | $14.12 |
| 0.2¢ | 7,671.1 | $15.34 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3¢ | 144 | $1.87 |
| 1.4¢ | 10 | $0.14 |
| 1.5¢ | 207.63 | $3.11 |
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.8¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
| 1.9¢ | 197 | $3.74 |
| 2¢ | 105 | $2.10 |
| 2.5¢ | 105 | $2.63 |
| 3¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3.4¢ | 139 | $4.73 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.