All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.3%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.3¢ per share
- No99%
98.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.3¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 5.1 | $0.06 |
| 1.1¢ | 368 | $4.05 |
| 1¢ | 1,563.6 | $15.64 |
| 0.9¢ | 119.1 | $1.07 |
| 0.8¢ | 249.1 | $1.99 |
| 0.7¢ | 207.1 | $1.45 |
| 0.6¢ | 135.1 | $0.81 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,178.22 | $5.89 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,610.21 | $10.44 |
| 0.3¢ | 6,984.1 | $20.95 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4¢ | 18.03 | $0.25 |
| 1.5¢ | 87.5 | $1.31 |
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.8¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
| 1.9¢ | 122 | $2.32 |
| 2¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 2.5¢ | 5 | $0.13 |
| 2.7¢ | 125 | $3.38 |
| 2.8¢ | 63 | $1.76 |
| 3¢ | 105 | $3.15 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.