All markets
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
4%chance
- Yes4%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.0¢ per share
- No96%
96.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6¢ | 23 | $0.83 |
| 3.5¢ | 57.32 | $2.01 |
| 3.4¢ | 5 | $0.17 |
| 3.2¢ | 36 | $1.15 |
| 3.1¢ | 35 | $1.09 |
| 3¢ | 110.1 | $3.30 |
| 2.9¢ | 6.03 | $0.17 |
| 2.8¢ | 6.98 | $0.20 |
| 2.5¢ | 5.1 | $0.13 |
| 2.3¢ | 150 | $3.45 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4¢ | 123.77 | $5.45 |
| 4.5¢ | 12.37 | $0.56 |
| 4.9¢ | 24 | $1.18 |
| 5¢ | 10.36 | $0.52 |
| 5.9¢ | 24 | $1.42 |
| 6¢ | 137 | $8.22 |
| 6.1¢ | 62.5 | $3.81 |
| 7.6¢ | 100 | $7.60 |
| 7.8¢ | 24 | $1.87 |
| 7.9¢ | 835.97 | $66.04 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.