All markets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
7%chance
- Yes6.7%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.7¢ per share
- No93%
93.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.7¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4¢ | 711.3 | $45.52 |
| 6.1¢ | 18 | $1.10 |
| 6¢ | 174.47 | $10.47 |
| 5.9¢ | 5 | $0.30 |
| 5.4¢ | 27 | $1.46 |
| 5.3¢ | 5 | $0.27 |
| 5.1¢ | 27 | $1.38 |
| 5¢ | 110 | $5.50 |
| 4.7¢ | 176 | $8.27 |
| 4.3¢ | 24 | $1.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 306 | $21.42 |
| 7.1¢ | 5.78 | $0.41 |
| 7.3¢ | 82 | $5.99 |
| 7.4¢ | 105.06 | $7.77 |
| 7.6¢ | 27 | $2.05 |
| 7.7¢ | 10.34 | $0.80 |
| 8.1¢ | 27 | $2.19 |
| 8.2¢ | 300 | $24.60 |
| 8.3¢ | 954 | $79.18 |
| 8.5¢ | 100 | $8.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.