All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes14.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
14.5¢ per share
- No86%
85.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 14.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 94.43 | $13.22 |
| 13¢ | 244 | $31.72 |
| 12¢ | 663 | $79.56 |
| 11¢ | 1,139 | $125.29 |
| 10¢ | 93 | $9.30 |
| 9¢ | 6.97 | $0.63 |
| 7¢ | 12.55 | $0.88 |
| 6¢ | 333.06 | $19.98 |
| 5¢ | 5 | $0.25 |
| 4¢ | 522.5 | $20.90 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 118.01 | $17.70 |
| 16¢ | 541.86 | $86.70 |
| 17¢ | 139.12 | $23.65 |
| 18¢ | 162.83 | $29.31 |
| 19¢ | 189 | $35.91 |
| 20¢ | 260 | $52.00 |
| 21¢ | 149 | $31.29 |
| 22¢ | 11.02 | $2.42 |
| 23¢ | 185 | $42.55 |
| 24¢ | 138 | $33.12 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.