All markets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes6%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
6.0¢ per share
- No94%
94.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2¢ | 6 | $0.31 |
| 5.1¢ | 38.9 | $1.98 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| 4.9¢ | 14 | $0.69 |
| 4.8¢ | 5.01 | $0.24 |
| 3¢ | 22.5 | $0.67 |
| 2.9¢ | 108.49 | $3.15 |
| 2.2¢ | 45 | $0.99 |
| 2.1¢ | 247.25 | $5.19 |
| 2¢ | 210 | $4.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.9¢ | 13.5 | $0.93 |
| 7¢ | 199.01 | $13.93 |
| 7.3¢ | 9 | $0.66 |
| 7.4¢ | 70 | $5.18 |
| 7.5¢ | 250 | $18.75 |
| 7.8¢ | 100 | $7.80 |
| 8¢ | 100 | $8.00 |
| 8.2¢ | 96.27 | $7.89 |
| 8.3¢ | 93.75 | $7.78 |
| 8.5¢ | 100 | $8.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.