
3%chance
3.3¢ per share
96.7¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 157.9 | $4.74 |
| 2.9¢ | 5.01 | $0.15 |
| 2.8¢ | 6 | $0.17 |
| 2.7¢ | 49.42 | $1.33 |
| 2.6¢ | 6 | $0.16 |
| 2.5¢ | 257.89 | $6.45 |
| 1.9¢ | 9 | $0.17 |
| 1.8¢ | 119.99 | $2.16 |
| 1.7¢ | 100 | $1.70 |
| 1.6¢ | 300 | $4.80 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6¢ | 41 | $1.48 |
| 3.7¢ | 19.99 | $0.74 |
| 3.9¢ | 37.56 | $1.46 |
| 4¢ | 220.72 | $8.83 |
| 4.4¢ | 9 | $0.40 |
| 4.5¢ | 200.01 | $9.00 |
| 5¢ | 300 | $15.00 |
| 5.5¢ | 100 | $5.50 |
| 5.8¢ | 13.78 | $0.80 |
| 6¢ | 200 | $12.00 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.