All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
21%chance
- Yes20.5%
Outcomes
- Yes21%
20.5¢ per share
- No80%
79.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20¢ | 1,147.57 | $229.51 |
| 19¢ | 585 | $111.15 |
| 18¢ | 837.55 | $150.76 |
| 17¢ | 699 | $118.83 |
| 16¢ | 60 | $9.60 |
| 8¢ | 20 | $1.60 |
| 7¢ | 506.17 | $35.43 |
| 6¢ | 734.17 | $44.05 |
| 5¢ | 875 | $43.75 |
| 4¢ | 1,651.54 | $66.06 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 1,012.07 | $212.53 |
| 22¢ | 799.39 | $175.87 |
| 23¢ | 130 | $29.90 |
| 24¢ | 63 | $15.12 |
| 25¢ | 62 | $15.50 |
| 64¢ | 5 | $3.20 |
| 65¢ | 70.65 | $45.92 |
| 66¢ | 314 | $207.24 |
| 67¢ | 703.12 | $471.09 |
| 68¢ | 3,125 | $2,125.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.