All markets
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.4¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 1,031.94 | $3.10 |
| 0.2¢ | 12,895.07 | $25.79 |
| 0.1¢ | 17,254.49 | $17.25 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 332.94 | $1.33 |
| 0.5¢ | 314 | $1.57 |
| 0.6¢ | 20.64 | $0.12 |
| 0.7¢ | 122.69 | $0.86 |
| 0.8¢ | 25 | $0.20 |
| 0.9¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
| 1¢ | 112.81 | $1.13 |
| 1.1¢ | 12.91 | $0.14 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 91.34 | $1.19 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.