All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.4¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 1,169.39 | $3.51 |
| 0.2¢ | 3,011.1 | $6.02 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,444.1 | $11.44 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 493.35 | $1.97 |
| 0.5¢ | 996.39 | $4.98 |
| 0.6¢ | 10 | $0.06 |
| 0.7¢ | 14 | $0.10 |
| 0.8¢ | 14 | $0.11 |
| 0.9¢ | 25 | $0.22 |
| 1¢ | 458 | $4.58 |
| 1.1¢ | 37.67 | $0.41 |
| 1.2¢ | 1,917.85 | $23.01 |
| 1.3¢ | 8.24 | $0.11 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.