All markets
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7¢ | 1,474.45 | $10.32 |
| 0.6¢ | 3,105.1 | $18.63 |
| 0.5¢ | 282.1 | $1.41 |
| 0.4¢ | 841.1 | $3.36 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,721.1 | $11.16 |
| 0.2¢ | 323.1 | $0.65 |
| 0.1¢ | 93,379.32 | $93.38 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 100.68 | $0.81 |
| 0.9¢ | 34 | $0.31 |
| 1¢ | 31.26 | $0.31 |
| 1.1¢ | 113.51 | $1.25 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 23.82 | $0.31 |
| 1.4¢ | 66 | $0.92 |
| 1.5¢ | 105.09 | $1.58 |
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.7¢ | 5.17 | $0.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.