All markets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.5¢ per share
- No99%
98.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.5¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4¢ | 20 | $0.28 |
| 1.3¢ | 100 | $1.30 |
| 1.2¢ | 5.1 | $0.06 |
| 1.1¢ | 110 | $1.21 |
| 1¢ | 105.1 | $1.05 |
| 0.9¢ | 270.1 | $2.43 |
| 0.8¢ | 270.1 | $2.16 |
| 0.7¢ | 505.1 | $3.54 |
| 0.6¢ | 922.7 | $5.54 |
| 0.5¢ | 2,225.1 | $11.13 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.7¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
| 1.8¢ | 10 | $0.18 |
| 1.9¢ | 19.48 | $0.37 |
| 2¢ | 110 | $2.20 |
| 2.1¢ | 6.73 | $0.14 |
| 2.2¢ | 161 | $3.54 |
| 2.3¢ | 39 | $0.90 |
| 2.4¢ | 285.36 | $6.85 |
| 2.5¢ | 0.46 | $0.01 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.