All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes2.2%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 389.97 | $9.75 |
| 2.1¢ | 70.21 | $1.47 |
| 2¢ | 122.03 | $2.44 |
| 1.9¢ | 6.01 | $0.11 |
| 1.8¢ | 261.35 | $4.70 |
| 1.7¢ | 605.92 | $10.30 |
| 1.6¢ | 2,286.1 | $36.58 |
| 1.5¢ | 20 | $0.30 |
| 1.4¢ | 415.1 | $5.81 |
| 1.3¢ | 190 | $2.47 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6¢ | 87.11 | $2.26 |
| 2.8¢ | 26 | $0.73 |
| 2.9¢ | 505.01 | $14.65 |
| 3¢ | 16.8 | $0.50 |
| 3.8¢ | 77 | $2.93 |
| 3.9¢ | 82.94 | $3.23 |
| 4¢ | 505 | $20.20 |
| 5.7¢ | 9.71 | $0.55 |
| 5.8¢ | 359.93 | $20.88 |
| 7¢ | 200 | $14.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.