All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.8¢ per share
- No92%
92.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 0.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1¢ | 20 | $1.42 |
| 7¢ | 36.35 | $2.54 |
| 6.8¢ | 32.35 | $2.20 |
| 6.7¢ | 105 | $7.04 |
| 6.6¢ | 50 | $3.30 |
| 6.5¢ | 106.9 | $6.95 |
| 6.4¢ | 452.9 | $28.99 |
| 5.6¢ | 50 | $2.80 |
| 5.5¢ | 151.91 | $8.36 |
| 4.9¢ | 8.63 | $0.42 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 5 | $0.40 |
| 8.1¢ | 25 | $2.03 |
| 8.2¢ | 25 | $2.05 |
| 8.7¢ | 40 | $3.48 |
| 8.8¢ | 500 | $44.00 |
| 8.9¢ | 200 | $17.80 |
| 9.5¢ | 33 | $3.14 |
| 9.6¢ | 51.91 | $4.98 |
| 9.7¢ | 33 | $3.20 |
| 9.8¢ | 10 | $0.98 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.