34%chance
34.0¢ per share
66.0¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 31¢ | 220 | $68.20 |
| 30¢ | 96 | $28.80 |
| 29¢ | 146.33 | $42.44 |
| 20¢ | 26 | $5.20 |
| 11¢ | 10 | $1.10 |
| 9¢ | 20 | $1.80 |
| 5¢ | 12.43 | $0.62 |
| 4¢ | 40 | $1.60 |
| 2¢ | 292.76 | $5.86 |
| 1¢ | 65.04 | $0.65 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 37¢ | 83.33 | $30.83 |
| 38¢ | 80 | $30.40 |
| 45¢ | 41.66 | $18.75 |
| 55¢ | 200 | $110.00 |
| 61¢ | 256 | $156.16 |
| 83¢ | 54 | $44.82 |
| 85¢ | 400 | $340.00 |
| 95¢ | 12.68 | $12.05 |
| 96¢ | 25 | $24.00 |
| 98¢ | 55.78 | $54.66 |
If the 15th SpaceX Starship flight test lifts off from its launch pad by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Liftoff is defined as the vehicle rising off the launch mount under its own power; a static fire, a hold, or an abort after ignition does not count. Any subsequent anomaly after liftoff will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.