All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
3%chance
- Yes3.1%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.1¢ per share
- No97%
96.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.1¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8¢ | 423.46 | $11.86 |
| 2.7¢ | 3,654.31 | $98.67 |
| 2.5¢ | 591.33 | $14.78 |
| 2.3¢ | 451.34 | $10.38 |
| 2.2¢ | 465.13 | $10.23 |
| 2.1¢ | 535.65 | $11.25 |
| 1.9¢ | 472.89 | $8.98 |
| 1.8¢ | 1,445.2 | $26.01 |
| 1.2¢ | 476.6 | $5.72 |
| 1.1¢ | 1,511.49 | $16.63 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4¢ | 5.1 | $0.17 |
| 3.5¢ | 256.74 | $8.99 |
| 3.6¢ | 360 | $12.96 |
| 3.7¢ | 591.33 | $21.88 |
| 4¢ | 160.3 | $6.41 |
| 4.1¢ | 208.55 | $8.55 |
| 4.2¢ | 255.52 | $10.73 |
| 4.3¢ | 655.13 | $28.17 |
| 4.4¢ | 418.41 | $18.41 |
| 4.5¢ | 1,005.2 | $45.23 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.