All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.5¢ per share
- No99%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.5¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3¢ | 215 | $2.80 |
| 1.2¢ | 377.36 | $4.53 |
| 1.1¢ | 2,557.84 | $28.14 |
| 1¢ | 134.85 | $1.35 |
| 0.9¢ | 59.99 | $0.54 |
| 0.8¢ | 625 | $5.00 |
| 0.7¢ | 1,514.2 | $10.60 |
| 0.6¢ | 2,833.3 | $17.00 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,000 | $5.00 |
| 0.4¢ | 3,250 | $13.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 3,408.48 | $57.94 |
| 1.8¢ | 505.03 | $9.09 |
| 1.9¢ | 401.18 | $7.62 |
| 2.2¢ | 219.88 | $4.84 |
| 2.6¢ | 53.21 | $1.38 |
| 3.2¢ | 387.09 | $12.39 |
| 4¢ | 250 | $10.00 |
| 4.6¢ | 10 | $0.46 |
| 4.7¢ | 1,000 | $47.00 |
| 4.8¢ | 1,000 | $48.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.