All markets
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
18%chance
- Yes18%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
18.0¢ per share
- No82%
82.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 18¢Spread 16¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 35 | $3.50 |
| 9¢ | 90 | $8.10 |
| 8¢ | 5 | $0.40 |
| 7¢ | 44.72 | $3.13 |
| 6¢ | 210 | $12.60 |
| 4¢ | 13.15 | $0.53 |
| 3¢ | 300 | $9.00 |
| 2¢ | 931.57 | $18.63 |
| 1¢ | 2,247.64 | $22.48 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 26¢ | 388.83 | $101.10 |
| 27¢ | 71 | $19.17 |
| 40¢ | 90 | $36.00 |
| 60¢ | 60.72 | $36.43 |
| 61¢ | 30 | $18.30 |
| 63¢ | 80 | $50.40 |
| 64¢ | 171 | $109.44 |
| 67¢ | 65 | $43.55 |
| 68¢ | 312 | $212.16 |
| 69¢ | 400 | $276.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.