All markets
Will Stephanie Bowman win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
18%chance
- Yes17.7%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
17.7¢ per share
- No82%
82.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17.7¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7¢ | 12 | $1.88 |
| 15.1¢ | 5 | $0.76 |
| 10¢ | 143 | $14.30 |
| 5.1¢ | 180 | $9.18 |
| 5¢ | 300 | $15.00 |
| 2.1¢ | 14.92 | $0.31 |
| 2¢ | 250 | $5.00 |
| 1¢ | 625 | $6.25 |
| 0.8¢ | 787.01 | $6.30 |
| 0.7¢ | 982.14 | $6.87 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19.7¢ | 150 | $29.55 |
| 19.8¢ | 100 | $19.80 |
| 20¢ | 20 | $4.00 |
| 20.7¢ | 200 | $41.40 |
| 23.8¢ | 52.03 | $12.38 |
| 26.5¢ | 135 | $35.78 |
| 26.6¢ | 60 | $15.96 |
| 27.8¢ | 40 | $11.12 |
| 27.9¢ | 12.8 | $3.57 |
| 34.2¢ | 100 | $34.20 |
Rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.